Public record
Model accuracy
63.9%
433 of 678 graded winner picks. Hit rate, not profit.
Margin columns are stronger favorites (≥5% / ≥8% from a coin flip). Not gambling advice. Pick hit rate is how often the model's favorite side won — not betting profit. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Small samples are noisy. For informational and entertainment purposes only.
| Sport | Headline | ≥5% margin | ≥8% margin | Brier | Log loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennis | 75.7%n=37 | 72.5%n=40 | 75.7%n=37 | — | — |
| NCAAF | 74.6%n=114 | 73.5%n=132 | 73.6%n=129 | 0.187 | — |
| WNBA | 74.0%n=77 | 76.5%n=68 | 77.4%n=53 | 0.196 | — |
| NFLsmall n | 64.7%n=17 | 60.0%n=15 | 69.2%n=13 | — | — |
| NBAsmall n | 61.5%n=13 | 75.0%n=8 | 71.4%n=7 | — | — |
| MLB | 61.3%n=62 | 67.7%n=34 | 77.3%n=22 | 0.230 | — |
| UFC | 58.3%n=60 | 67.7%n=31 | 65.2%n=23 | 0.238 | — |
| Soccer | 57.4%n=270 | 53.3%n=338 | 57.4%n=270 | 0.561 | — |
| NHL | 57.1%n=28 | 59.3%n=27 | 62.5%n=24 | — | — |