Public record
Model accuracy
62.4%
450 of 721 graded winner picks. Hit rate, not profit.
Margin columns are stronger favorites (≥5% / ≥8% from a coin flip). Not gambling advice. Pick hit rate is how often the model's favorite side won — not betting profit. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Small samples are noisy. For informational and entertainment purposes only.
| Sport | Headline | ≥5% margin | ≥8% margin | Brier | Log loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBAsmall n | 80.0%n=10 | 80.0%n=10 | 77.8%n=9 | — | — |
| NCAAF | 77.8%n=158 | 75.7%n=189 | 76.0%n=183 | 0.173 | — |
| WNBA | 73.8%n=80 | 77.1%n=70 | 80.4%n=56 | 0.184 | — |
| MLB | 64.1%n=64 | 73.8%n=42 | 64.0%n=25 | 0.225 | — |
| NFL | 56.3%n=32 | 63.0%n=27 | 60.9%n=23 | — | — |
| Soccer | 54.4%n=259 | 54.6%n=348 | 54.4%n=259 | 0.582 | — |
| Tennissmall n | 52.9%n=17 | 66.7%n=24 | 52.9%n=17 | — | — |
| UFC | 52.4%n=63 | 65.4%n=26 | 61.1%n=18 | 0.247 | — |
| NHL | 47.4%n=38 | 41.7%n=24 | 39.1%n=23 | — | — |