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MLB
15,000 simulations · 784 remaining matches · updated Sep 19, 2026 · player-weighted strength
World Series favorite
Arizona Diamondbacks
73.0%
#2
Chicago White Sox
15.1%
#3
Tampa Bay Rays
6.0%
| # | Team | Div | W now | Proj W | Division | WC | Playoff | Pennant | WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona Diamondbacks | NL West | 80 | 137.1 | 95.3% | 4.7% | 100.0% | 94.3% | 73.0% |
| 2 | Chicago White Sox | AL Central | 78 | 120.2 | 99.8% | 0.2% | 100.0% | 61.5% | 15.1% |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Rays | AL East | 93 | 117.4 | 69.6% | 30.4% | 100.0% | 28.7% | 6.0% |
| 4 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL West | 94 | 126.4 | 4.7% | 95.3% | 100.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| 5 | New York Yankees | AL East | 89 | 115.2 | 30.2% | 69.8% | 100.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% |
| 6 | Milwaukee Brewers | NL Central | 96 | 123.4 | 99.1% | 0.9% | 100.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| 7 | Atlanta Braves | NL East | 90 | 116.7 | 90.0% | 6.5% | 96.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8 | Boston Red Sox | AL East | 84 | 106.5 | 0.2% | 90.4% | 90.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 9 | San Diego Padres | NL West | 85 | 113.8 | 0.0% | 89.2% | 89.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10 | Chicago Cubs | NL Central | 85 | 112.2 | 0.9% | 69.6% | 70.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL East | 85 | 109.6 | 10.0% | 32.9% | 42.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12 | Cleveland Guardians | AL Central | 79 | 103.5 | 0.2% | 65.3% | 65.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Texas Rangers | AL West | 77 | 103 | 69.0% | 5.7% | 74.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Miami Marlins | NL East | 76 | 100.8 | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Houston Astros | AL West | 77 | 100 | 21.4% | 7.8% | 29.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 16 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL Central | 77 | 99.9 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 17 | Toronto Blue Jays | AL East | 76 | 98.8 | 0.0% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 18 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL Central | 75 | 98.4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 19 | Seattle Mariners | AL West | 72 | 97.2 | 9.6% | 3.7% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20 | Baltimore Orioles | AL East | 75 | 96.9 | 0.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21 | Detroit Tigers | AL Central | 73 | 96.6 | 0.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22 | Minnesota Twins | AL Central | 72 | 95.4 | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23 | Washington Nationals | NL East | 72 | 93.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24 | Cincinnati Reds | NL Central | 72 | 93.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25 | New York Mets | NL East | 70 | 92.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | San Francisco Giants | NL West | 64 | 90.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Kansas City Royals | AL Central | 67 | 90.7 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Los Angeles Angels | AL West | 59 | 83.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | Athletics | AL West | 61 | 81.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Colorado Rockies | NL West | 56 | 77.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Entertainment and research, not betting advice. Methodology.