← All forecasts
MLB
15,000 simulations · 1425 remaining matches · updated Nov 14, 2026 · player-weighted strength
World Series favorite
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.7%
#2
Los Angeles Dodgers
14.9%
#3
Chicago White Sox
13.9%
| # | Team | Div | W now | Proj W | Division | WC | Playoff | Pennant | WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona Diamondbacks | NL West | 86 | 163.9 | 74.6% | 25.4% | 100.0% | 67.1% | 50.7% |
| 2 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL West | 100 | 158.9 | 25.3% | 74.7% | 100.0% | 21.1% | 14.9% |
| 3 | Chicago White Sox | AL Central | 84 | 149 | 98.8% | 1.2% | 100.0% | 49.8% | 13.9% |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Rays | AL East | 98 | 147.5 | 71.1% | 28.9% | 100.0% | 38.0% | 9.5% |
| 5 | Milwaukee Brewers | NL Central | 103 | 156.5 | 99.7% | 0.3% | 100.0% | 11.7% | 8.0% |
| 6 | New York Yankees | AL East | 93 | 143.9 | 28.4% | 71.5% | 99.9% | 11.9% | 2.9% |
| 7 | San Diego Padres | NL West | 91 | 143.1 | 0.1% | 95.0% | 95.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 8 | Atlanta Braves | NL East | 94 | 143.7 | 90.8% | 4.9% | 95.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 9 | Boston Red Sox | AL East | 87 | 133.3 | 0.5% | 86.0% | 86.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | AL Central | 85 | 132.2 | 1.2% | 80.2% | 81.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 11 | Chicago Cubs | NL Central | 89 | 138.3 | 0.3% | 72.2% | 72.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL East | 88 | 133.7 | 8.9% | 22.6% | 31.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Texas Rangers | AL West | 80 | 128.1 | 62.0% | 4.0% | 66.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL Central | 82 | 126.5 | 0.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Miami Marlins | NL East | 80 | 125.9 | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 16 | Houston Astros | AL West | 81 | 124.4 | 23.2% | 3.8% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 17 | Baltimore Orioles | AL East | 79 | 122.2 | 0.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 18 | Seattle Mariners | AL West | 76 | 122 | 14.9% | 3.0% | 17.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 19 | Toronto Blue Jays | AL East | 79 | 121.5 | 0.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20 | Minnesota Twins | AL Central | 77 | 120.6 | 0.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL Central | 77 | 120.6 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22 | Detroit Tigers | AL Central | 76 | 120.3 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23 | Washington Nationals | NL East | 77 | 119.5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24 | New York Mets | NL East | 74 | 117.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25 | Cincinnati Reds | NL Central | 75 | 115.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | San Francisco Giants | NL West | 65 | 110.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Kansas City Royals | AL Central | 69 | 110.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Los Angeles Angels | AL West | 62 | 105.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | Athletics | AL West | 64 | 102 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Colorado Rockies | NL West | 58 | 95.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Entertainment and research, not betting advice. Methodology.