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NFL
15,000 simulations · 255 remaining matches · updated Sep 19, 2026 · player-weighted strength
Super Bowl favorite
Carolina Panthers
46.5%
#2
Arizona Cardinals
3.5%
#3
Atlanta Falcons
3.3%
| # | Team | Conf | W now | Proj W | Playoff | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Panthers | — | 3 | 11.5 | 85.6% | 46.5% |
| 2 | Arizona Cardinals | — | 1 | 8 | 27.7% | 3.5% |
| 3 | Atlanta Falcons | — | 0 | 7.9 | 25.9% | 3.3% |
| 4 | Baltimore Ravens | — | 0 | 8 | 25.6% | 3.3% |
| 5 | Chicago Bears | — | 0 | 8 | 24.8% | 1.9% |
| 6 | Dallas Cowboys | — | 0 | 8.1 | 23.8% | 2.1% |
| 7 | Cincinnati Bengals | — | 0 | 8 | 23.5% | 2.2% |
| 8 | Denver Broncos | — | 0 | 8 | 23.3% | 2.1% |
| 9 | Cleveland Browns | — | 0 | 8 | 23.1% | 2.2% |
| 10 | Green Bay Packers | — | 0 | 8 | 21.6% | 2.0% |
| 11 | Los Angeles Rams | — | 0 | 8.1 | 21.3% | 1.8% |
| 12 | Houston Texans | — | 0 | 8 | 21.1% | 1.7% |
| 13 | Kansas City Chiefs | — | 0 | 8 | 20.9% | 1.7% |
| 14 | Las Vegas Raiders | — | 0 | 8.1 | 20.8% | 1.6% |
| 15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | — | 0 | 8 | 20.6% | 1.8% |
| 16 | Indianapolis Colts | — | 0 | 8 | 20.0% | 1.7% |
| 17 | Los Angeles Chargers | — | 0 | 8 | 19.2% | 1.4% |
| 18 | Miami Dolphins | — | 0 | 8 | 19.0% | 1.3% |
| 19 | New England Patriots | — | 0 | 8 | 18.2% | 1.4% |
| 20 | Minnesota Vikings | — | 0 | 8 | 18.1% | 1.4% |
| 21 | New York Giants | — | 0 | 8.1 | 18.1% | 1.4% |
| 22 | New York Jets | — | 0 | 8.1 | 18.0% | 1.4% |
| 23 | New Orleans Saints | — | 0 | 8 | 17.5% | 1.7% |
| 24 | Buffalo Bills | — | 0 | 7.5 | 17.5% | 1.5% |
| 25 | San Francisco 49ers | — | 0 | 8.1 | 17.3% | 1.4% |
| 26 | Philadelphia Eagles | — | 0 | 8 | 16.5% | 1.3% |
| 27 | Seattle Seahawks | — | 0 | 8.1 | 15.6% | 1.3% |
| 28 | Pittsburgh Steelers | — | 0 | 8 | 15.6% | 1.1% |
| 29 | Washington Commanders | — | 0 | 8.1 | 15.5% | 1.2% |
| 30 | Detroit Lions | — | 0 | 7.5 | 14.9% | 0.9% |
| 31 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | 0 | 8 | 14.7% | 1.3% |
| 32 | Tennessee Titans | — | 0 | 8 | 14.6% | 1.0% |
Entertainment and research, not betting advice. Methodology.