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Premier League

15,000 simulations · 80 remaining matches · updated Sep 19, 2026 · player-weighted strength

title favorite

Manchester City

48.1%

#2

Arsenal

41.8%

#3

Brentford

5.2%

Early snapshot from ingested remaining fixtures — not a full rest-of-season slate yet. Odds will move as more matches land.

#TeamPts nowProj ptsTitleTop 4Rel
1Arsenal1230.641.8%98.4%0.0%
2Manchester City1230.548.1%98.1%0.0%
3Brentford925.85.2%77.5%0.0%
4Brighton & Hove Albion724.94.4%71.6%0.0%
5Leeds United821.30.3%24.7%0.0%
6Hull City AFC820.40.0%14.3%0.1%
7Newcastle United517.30.0%5.1%1.0%
8Chelsea716.40.0%4.2%0.9%
9Manchester United415.90.0%3.5%1.8%
10Nottingham Forest515.10.0%0.4%3.0%
11Liverpool614.70.0%1.1%2.0%
12Everton614.70.0%0.3%2.2%
13Ipswich Town FC613.60.0%0.2%8.7%
14Sunderland412.60.0%0.1%9.6%
15AFC Bournemouth311.90.0%0.2%15.9%
16Fulham111.70.0%0.1%21.2%
17Crystal Palace311.20.0%0.1%28.2%
18Tottenham Hotspur210.10.0%0.0%29.6%
19Aston Villa16.80.0%0.0%78.9%
20Coventry City FC03.80.0%0.0%96.9%

Entertainment and research, not betting advice. Methodology.